Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.039622 0.043251 0.047070 0.051389 0.056143 0.061218 0.067053
2026-02-01 0.031680 0.036673 0.042269 0.049017 0.056953 0.066009 0.077159
2026-02-08 0.026415 0.032107 0.038829 0.047385 0.058028 0.070890 0.087696
2026-02-15 0.022615 0.028639 0.036077 0.045989 0.058931 0.075363 0.097981
2026-02-22 0.020385 0.026760 0.034943 0.046301 0.061785 0.082337 0.111989
2026-03-01 0.017951 0.024300 0.032728 0.044843 0.061989 0.085650 0.121231
2026-03-08 0.015564 0.021636 0.029933 0.042232 0.060219 0.085904 0.125977
2026-03-15 0.014065 0.020043 0.028437 0.041244 0.060563 0.089063 0.135117
2026-03-22 0.013263 0.019356 0.028141 0.041922 0.063349 0.095981 0.150570
2026-03-29 0.012561 0.018744 0.027879 0.042589 0.066122 0.103056 0.166911
2026-04-05 0.011667 0.017762 0.026967 0.042146 0.067065 0.107266 0.178901
2026-04-12 0.010887 0.016890 0.026147 0.041757 0.068020 0.111517 0.191300
2026-04-19 0.010059 0.015896 0.025084 0.040926 0.068238 0.114668 0.202339
2026-04-26 0.009188 0.014774 0.023737 0.039515 0.067350 0.115853 0.210002
2026-05-03 0.008466 0.013843 0.022631 0.038419 0.066904 0.117757 0.219181
2026-05-10 0.007828 0.013005 0.021619 0.037395 0.066480 0.119630 0.228457
2026-05-17 0.007479 0.012632 0.021365 0.037686 0.068458 0.126085 0.247383
2026-05-24 0.006924 0.011861 0.020365 0.036538 0.067635 0.127128 0.255433
2026-05-31 0.006270 0.010876 0.018919 0.034454 0.064844 0.124088 0.254630
2026-06-07 0.005866 0.010312 0.018192 0.033665 0.064501 0.125855 0.264233
2026-06-14 0.005685 0.010139 0.018165 0.034211 0.066846 0.133255 0.286941
2026-06-21 0.005513 0.009973 0.018136 0.034747 0.069210 0.140895 0.311053
2026-06-28 0.005237 0.009593 0.017679 0.034392 0.069691 0.144577 0.326440